Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Wright * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Lavon Long * | 31 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Rob Poole * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Javion Ogunyemi * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Oliver | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Willem Brandwijk | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Paige | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Evan Hymes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Okereafor * | 34 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Jimmie Taylor * | 31 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Anthony D'Orazio * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kahlil Thomas * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Zedric Sadler | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Valentine | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Lundy | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Khalil Alford | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Grant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter