Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius Golden Griffins | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +13 (59-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Lewis * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| P. Valenti * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5 | - |
| J. Heath * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Grzelinski * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Reynolds * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Robertson | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Williams | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Crumpton | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Bleeker | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Weir | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Okereafor * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 8-12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Anthony D'Orazio * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jimmie Taylor * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Lundy * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Valentine | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Zedric Sadler | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Junior Fortunat | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Khalil Alford | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter