Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Quinnipiac Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Quinnipiac Bobcats +17 (81-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Lawton * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -13.5 |
| Aaron Calixte * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -21.4 |
| Garvey Melmed * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7.3 |
| Till Gloger * | 28 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | -16.5 |
| Garet Beal * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -13.2 |
| Kevin Little | 24 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +7.6 |
| Christian Ejiga | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Troy Reid-Knight | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +10.1 |
| Erik Nissen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
Quinnipiac Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaid Hearst * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +9.6 |
| Ousmane Drame * | 29 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 17 | +13.8 |
| Evan Conti * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +10.2 |
| Justin Harris * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +9.5 |
| Kasim Chandler * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +20.1 |
| Ayron Hutton | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Chaise Daniels | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.5 |
| James Ford Jr | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Dimitri Floras | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Alain Chigha | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Greg Tarca | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Samir Kalil | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Emanuel Binyam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
* = starter