Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell Bison | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +2 (73-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hass * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | +8.1 |
| Nana Foulland * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1.7 |
| John Azzinaro * | 21 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +5.7 |
| Ryan Frazier * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Dom Hoffman * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -10.2 |
| J.C. Show | 27 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | -3.1 |
| Steven Kaspar | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -15.0 |
| Cory Starkey | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +2.7 |
| D.J. MacLeay | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Stephen Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Poole * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Marquis Wright * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | +6.5 |
| Javion Ogunyemi * | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Evan Hymes * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Willem Brandwijk * | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -6.7 |
| Jimmy Paige | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +9.6 |
| Ryan Oliver | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Maurice White | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -6.3 |
* = starter