Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +18 (66-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Michael * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -16.3 |
| Tevin Svihovec * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2 | -23.8 |
| Tim Huskisson * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -9.7 |
| Dominique Lee * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -13.0 |
| Corey Spence * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.1 |
| Cody McDavis | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7.3 |
| Jordan Wilson | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Anthony Johnson | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Jeremy Verhagen | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Spencer Mathis | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Drew Bender | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.5 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Gregory * | 38 | 9-16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | +19.1 |
| Brandon Gfeller * | 36 | 5-16 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +20.0 |
| Martin Breunig * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +23.6 |
| Mario Dunn * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Chris Kemp * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Fabijan Krslovic | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | +6.8 |
| Jack Lopez | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.5 |
| Riley Bradshaw | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Daniel Nwosu | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.8 |
* = starter