Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +34 (79-45). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Kennedy * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Juwan Major * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -14.1 |
| A.J. Hess * | 18 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -22.2 |
| Travon Langston * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -9.9 |
| Casey Oliverson * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -22.2 |
| Tyler Rawson | 22 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -8.2 |
| James McGee | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -14.1 |
| John Marshall | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -8.7 |
| Sherron Wilson | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -13.8 |
| Race Parsons | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.2 |
| Cal Hanks | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +10.3 |
| Christian Thompson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -4.7 |
| Austin Waddoups | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelan Kendrick * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | +15.1 |
| Christian Wood * | 31 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 29 | +26.8 |
| Rashad Vaughn * | 30 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +25.3 |
| Cody Doolin * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +29.0 |
| Dwayne Morgan * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Patrick McCaw | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Jordan Cornish | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +11.0 |
| Dantley Walker | 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +5.7 |
| Charles Rushman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Barry Cheaney | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.5 |
* = starter