Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines -25 (49-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikh McKinney * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +13.1 |
| Dylan Garrity * | 32 | 8-9 | 6-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 22 | +16.7 |
| Cody Dempsey * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nick Hornsby * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9.6 |
| Eric Stuteville * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -14.8 |
| Zach Mills | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +20.3 |
| Alex Tiffin | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +26.3 |
| Dreon Barlett | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +9.2 |
| Marcus Graves | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.3 |
| Trevis Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Justin Strings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Mason Stuteville | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| James Herrick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Jiday Ugbaja | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Bruneel * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Marcel Davis * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -8.0 |
| Donte Williams * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | -0.2 |
| Zach Nelson * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +3.8 |
| Brenden Evans * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Chad Ross | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -11.6 |
| Cory Cardwell | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -9.3 |
| Jaden Jackson | 15 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -6.6 |
| Eli Robison | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -17.0 |
| Alex Carr | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Boston Gubler | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.8 |
| Darrious Hamilton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Dayon Goodman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 |
* = starter