Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Maurice Strong * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luther Page | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Brandon Graham | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Steve Rogers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chidozie Omile | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Robert Ojeah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Nash * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Chad Calcaterra * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Josiah Coleman * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Quinton Hooker * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Estan Tyler | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Lenny Antwi | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Bryce Cashman | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dustin Hobaugh | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shane Benton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter