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2015-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 41.4% 58.6% -
Bradley-Terry 65.5% 34.5% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 94.4% 5.6% -
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -5 (49-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. O'Neale * 35 3-7 3-5 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 9 8 -
K. Chery * 34 1-9 0-7 4-4 5 4 0 0 3 6 3 -
R. Gathers * 30 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 2 4 -
L. Medford * 29 2-7 2-5 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 10 4 -
J. Motley * 17 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
T. Prince 32 9-14 3-6 1-3 4 0 3 0 3 22 12 -
A. Mills 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Freeman 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
I. Wainright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Deng 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gotcher * 34 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 7 3 -
Z. Smith * 34 4-8 1-2 1-6 3 2 3 2 0 10 12 -
N. Odiase * 32 2-7 0-0 5-6 9 1 1 1 3 9 11 -
D. Williams * 29 5-10 3-8 2-2 2 1 3 0 1 15 10 -
R. Turner * 19 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
K. Evans 21 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 2 3 2 1 2 4 -
A. Ross 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Onwuasor 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
I. Manderson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Lammert 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter