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Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Margin 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +18 (61-43). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Isaiah Jackson * 37 4-15 0-3 1-2 3 0 4 0 3 9 -2 +2.1
Shevon Thompson * 27 3-8 0-0 3-6 11 0 2 2 1 9 15 -3.5
Jalen Jenkins * 22 3-8 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 8 7 -2.4
Vaughn Gray * 21 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 +0.8
Marquise Moore * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 +0.9
Corey Edwards 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 4 0 1 2 6 -2.4
Trey Porter 22 3-8 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 1 1 7 5 +2.9
Patrick Holloway 20 1-7 0-6 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -4 -8.1
Marko Gujanicic 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -4.4
Myles Tate 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.8

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Isaiah Cousins * 33 4-11 1-4 2-3 6 0 0 1 2 11 5 +5.1
Ryan Spangler * 32 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 +2.0
Jordan Woodard * 30 1-7 0-2 5-6 8 4 2 1 1 7 14 +5.1
Buddy Hield * 27 7-13 3-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 17 8 +5.1
TaShawn Thomas * 16 4-5 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 1 2 9 10 -6.6
Dinjiyl Walker 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 +3.1
Khadeem Lattin 17 2-7 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 0 5 9 +8.1
D.J. Bennett 14 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 4 +5.6
Frank Booker 9 0-2 0-1 2-3 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -3.1
Austin Mankin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
C.J. Cole 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter