Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia Bulldogs | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -4 (46-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Georgia Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Charles Mann * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | -1.5 |
| Nemanja Djurisic * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Kenny Gaines * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Juwan Parker * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -13.4 |
| J.J. Frazier | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +18.9 |
| Yante Maten | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5.5 |
| K. Geno | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.5 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foster * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -9.1 |
| Nino Williams * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -13.6 |
| Jevon Thomas * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
| Justin Edwards * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Stephen Hurt * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -9.4 |
| Thomas Gipson | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | +9.9 |
| Wes Iwundu | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +8.5 |
| Nigel Johnson | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Malek Harris | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +12.5 |
| Tre Harris | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.2 |
* = starter