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2014-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% - โœ“
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +24 (71-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Nichols * 30 3-10 0-0 3-7 6 1 0 1 2 9 5 -
Markel Crawford * 27 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
Nick King * 27 1-4 0-1 3-4 5 1 1 0 3 5 5 -
Avery Woodson * 24 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
Trahson Burrell * 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 2 1 -
Pookie Powell 27 4-10 2-6 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 13 6 -
Shaq Goodwin 24 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 2 1 -
Chris Hawkins 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 2 1 -
Calvin Godfrey 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lester Medford * 33 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 3 4 -
Royce O'Neale * 31 6-9 4-6 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 16 13 -
Taurean Prince * 30 7-17 4-7 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 20 7 -
Rico Gathers * 30 4-7 0-0 0-1 11 0 1 0 0 8 13 -
Johnathan Motley * 23 2-7 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
Allerik Freeman 20 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 8 3 -
Deng Deng 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Ishmail Wainright 10 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Austin Mills 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
T.J. Maston 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter