Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walkup * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jacob Parker * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Trey Pinkney * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Clide Geffrard * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dallas Cameron * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jared Johnson | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Demetrious Floyd | 15 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Tanner Clayton | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ty Charles | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Justin Dotson | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Connor Brooks | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bobby King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royce O'Neale * | 38 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 32 | - |
| Lester Medford * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kenny Chery * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Rico Gathers * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Johnathan Motley * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 26 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Allerik Freeman | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Deng Deng | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter