Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.4% | 1.6% | -22.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars -20 (69-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Schimmel | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Hammond | 28 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Carter | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Moore | 22 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| S. Dyer | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Smith | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Deines | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Vails | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Henderson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| A. Freeman | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Scott | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Rogers | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Sims | 20 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Maddox | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Tolen | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Byrd | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Markovic | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Burse | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Gunn | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| N. Rogers | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Lawrence | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -6 | - |
| S. Teague | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter