Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (96-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 37 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. Augustus | 36 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| L. Whalen | 35 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Brunson | 24 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. McCarville | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Wright | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. White | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Liston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Taylor | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. McKenith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 35 | 12-17 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 24 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. Phillips | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bias | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter