Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (96-78). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 35 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Monica Wright | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tan White | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Asia Taylor | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tricia Liston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 12-17 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Bias | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter