Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 40 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 38 | 8-23 | 2-11 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| P. Taylor | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| E. Phillips | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Bass | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 40 | 10-21 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 22 | - |
| S. Augustus | 37 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| R. Brunson | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| L. Whalen | 34 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. McCarville | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Wright | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dantas | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. White | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Peters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter