Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Whalen | 34 | 11-23 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 10 | - |
| S. Augustus | 34 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -3 | - |
| R. Brunson | 32 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| M. Moore | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. McCarville | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Wright | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| D. Peters | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. White | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Taylor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. McKenith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 36 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 35 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 27 | - |
| B. Griner | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| E. Phillips | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Murphy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter