Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -5 (76-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlana Larkins * | 41 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Briann January * | 37 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 9 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Maggie Lucas | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 39 | 2-13 | 0-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 30 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 16 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter