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2014-08-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Latta 35 8-15 6-11 0-0 0 5 1 0 4 22 9 -
Emma Meesseman 31 7-10 0-0 3-3 6 0 2 0 5 17 10 -
Kia Vaughn 27 1-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
B. Hartley 25 2-7 0-2 1-2 3 4 2 0 1 5 6 -
M. Currie 25 4-10 0-2 3-4 6 0 1 1 1 11 8 -
K. Lawson 21 3-7 0-2 3-3 0 3 1 0 0 9 6 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 1 0 2 7 -
S. Dolson 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -4 -
Tianna Hawkins 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
K. Greene 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Zellous 34 5-12 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 10 4 -
E. Larkins 33 3-7 0-0 2-2 11 1 1 1 1 8 14 -
Briann January 33 6-12 1-1 2-5 0 2 1 1 1 15 6 -
T. Catchings 29 4-15 0-1 14-14 10 2 7 0 2 22 24 -
M. Coleman 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 21 0-3 0-1 5-8 6 2 1 1 2 5 10 -
L. Kizer 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Natasha Howard 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Lucas 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
S. Carter 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Clarendon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter