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2015-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 74.0% 26.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% - โœ—
Margin 63.8% 36.2% -3.1 โœ— (42.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.9% 34.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.9% 34.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics +39 (117-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Iman Shumpert * 37 6-15 1-5 2-4 10 3 0 0 7 15 6 -
Matthew Dellavedova * 31 3-12 1-6 0-0 2 9 0 0 4 7 2 -
Tristan Thompson * 28 5-11 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 1 3 14 6 -
James Jones * 26 4-7 1-3 5-5 4 0 0 1 0 14 12 -
Shawn Marion * 25 4-9 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 8 5 -
Joe Harris * 25 4-8 0-3 1-2 2 1 0 1 0 9 5 -
Mike Miller * 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 -
Timofey Mozgov * 22 4-11 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 4 9 4 -
Kendrick Perkins * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 0 3 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 32 3-9 1-4 0-0 0 2 4 0 0 7 4 -
Avery Bradley * 27 5-9 2-5 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 12 7 -
Evan Turner * 26 6-12 0-1 3-4 7 5 4 1 1 15 19 -
Jae Crowder * 24 3-7 1-3 2-4 7 3 3 0 0 9 15 -
Isaiah Thomas * 22 5-10 2-4 5-6 2 6 2 0 1 17 16 -
Tyler Zeller * 18 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
Jonas Jerebko * 18 4-7 2-3 0-2 3 2 2 0 0 10 10 -
Jared Sullinger * 17 4-7 0-1 3-4 2 4 1 0 0 11 11 -
Brandon Bass * 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
Kelly Olynyk 18 4-5 0-1 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 10 13 -
Gigi Datome 8 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Phil Pressey 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter