Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -2 (111-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 42 | 13-33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | -5 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 41 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 40 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Nikola Mirotic | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 43 | 13-27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 42 | 9-23 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 39 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 21 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| David Lee | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Holiday | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Michael McAdoo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter