Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -8 (95-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 13-23 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 25 | - |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 11-24 | 0-4 | 10-11 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| JR Smith * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Iman Shumpert | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Augustin * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 34 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 29 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter