Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -13 (91-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lou Williams | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 19 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| David West * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Solomon Hill * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| George Hill | 20 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Damjan Rudez | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Luis Scola | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter