Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +4 (102-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 34 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| JJ Hickson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jameer Nelson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Randy Foye | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 34 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 18 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Glen Davis | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter