Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -9 (90-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 30 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 35 | 7-17 | 4-5 | 8-12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Enes Freedom * | 31 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Joe Ingles * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dante Exum * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Burke | 32 | 7-20 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | -2 | - |
| Rudy Gobert | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Elijah Millsap | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter