Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (92-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young * | 42 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 29 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Zach LaVine | 22 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Bennett | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Miroslav Raduljica | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serge Ibaka * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 7-22 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Perry Jones III * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 24 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Nick Collison | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Grant Jerrett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter