Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (114-110). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 42 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 37 | 12-20 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 25 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 28 | 2-13 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 27 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 28 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lou Williams | 22 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| James Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter