Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (112-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young * | 42 | 11-17 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 40 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 38 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Robbie Hummel | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chase Budinger | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Zach LaVine | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Bennett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 32 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Pero Antic | 20 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 16 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Mike Scott | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter