Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +3 (109-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 35 | 16-27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 16 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 33 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 8-19 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Devin Harris | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 42 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 39 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 27 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Nate Wolters | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter