Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -20 (100-120). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 36 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 30 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 8-15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 30 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 23 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Glen Davis | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Wilcox | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Alex Len * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 24 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 9-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Green | 20 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zoran Dragic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Archie Goodwin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter