Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +7 (103-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Martell Webster | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andre Miller | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 35 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 7-19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Allen Crabbe * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Barton | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 21 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Steve Blake | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter