Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +18 (101-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ McDaniels * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 25 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Larry Drew II | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Hollis Thompson | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Furkan Aldemir | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 17 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Henry Sims | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 27 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Vince Carter | 23 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tony Allen | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nick Calathes | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter