Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +25 (126-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 35 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Ben McLemore * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Miller | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Nik Stauskas | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ray McCallum | 12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 32 | 16-25 | 11-15 | 9-10 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 52 | 36 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Justin Holiday | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 20 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| David Lee | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Michael McAdoo | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter