Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -8 (84-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 41 | 9-23 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 34 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nate Wolters | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Chase Budinger | 24 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Zach LaVine | 13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Bennett | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter