Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks +7 (113-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 37 | 16-22 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 33 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 6-20 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 34 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Devyn Marble * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 28 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Gordon | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Luke Ridnour | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 41 | 10-24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 33 | 8-18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Langston Galloway * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 17 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Shane Larkin | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cleanthony Early | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter