Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +39 (129-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 25 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Al Jefferson | 23 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Marvin Williams | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Neal | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jason Maxiell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| PJ Hairston | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| JR Smith * | 28 | 7-13 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 27 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| LeBron James * | 26 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Iman Shumpert | 9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| James Jones | 9 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Joe Harris | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter