Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (103-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 8-22 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ish Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 31 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Pero Antic | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 17 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mike Scott | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter