Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -5 (86-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -6 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Lou Williams | 24 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| James Johnson | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Covington * | 35 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| KJ McDaniels * | 29 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Henry Sims | 19 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Larry Drew II | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Hollis Thompson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter