Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -1 (89-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 28 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 13 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 37 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 8-23 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Steve Blake | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 16 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Victor Claver | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Will Barton | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter