Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -2 (99-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enes Freedom * | 36 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Dante Exum * | 35 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Joe Ingles * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Trey Burke | 24 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Elijah Millsap | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaza Pachulia * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 26 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 25 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Johnny O'Bryant III | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| O.J. Mayo | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| John Henson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kenyon Martin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter