Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +23 (104-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Danny Green * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 22 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Gibson * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 26 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Mirotic | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter