Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (118-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 6-22 | 2-10 | 8-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 9-15 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Will Barton | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Steve Blake | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe * | 34 | 11-22 | 1-6 | 10-15 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 27 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Len * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 28 | 11-16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 17 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Gerald Green | 15 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter