Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -2 (103-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 44 | 10-23 | 4-10 | 10-11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 19 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 42 | 12-28 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 33 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Collison | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 43 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 41 | 5-21 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Andre Miller | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter