Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +16 (96-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hill * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 28 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Boozer | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nick Young | 19 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 32 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 26 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Nate Wolters | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter