Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -23 (75-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 25 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 24 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Devin Harris | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Greg Smith | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 39 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 32 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Zach LaVine | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 16 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Bennett | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Chase Budinger | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter