Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +10 (128-118). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 34 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 33 | 11-23 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Devyn Marble * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 25 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 14 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Willie Green | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Gordon | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Luke Ridnour | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 32 | 10-21 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 32 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 25 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 21 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 15 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Caron Butler | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter