Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +19 (110-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Solomon Hill * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| CJ Miles | 27 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Damjan Rudez | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Luis Scola | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shayne Whittington | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Korver * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Al Horford * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mike Scott | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Pero Antic | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| John Jenkins | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter