Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +14 (106-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enes Freedom * | 33 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Joe Ingles * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 19 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Dante Exum | 28 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Elijah Millsap | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Rudy Gobert | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Elliot Williams | 12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ian Clark | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timofey Mozgov * | 39 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| JR Smith * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-11 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 10-14 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Marion | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joe Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter