Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +15 (115-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lin * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Boozer | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nick Young | 26 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Tarik Black | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 36 | 11-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Alex Len * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 30 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Green | 18 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter